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Calculated Risks

Author : Joseph V. Rodricks
ISBN : 9781139459518
Genre : Science
File Size : 69. 19 MB
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Safeguarding economic prosperity, whilst protecting human health and the environment, is at the forefront of scientific and public interest. This book provides a practical and balanced view on toxicology, control, risk assessment and risk management, addressing the interplay between science and public health policy. This revised edition provides a detailed analysis on chemical and by-product exposure, how they enter the body and the suitability of imposed safety limits. Chapters on dose, with particular emphasis on children and vulnerable subpopulations, reproductive and developmental toxicants and toxicity testing are included. With updated and comprehensive coverage of international developments of risk management and safety, this will have broad appeal to researchers and professionals involved in chemical safety and regulation as well as the general reader interested in environmental pollution and public health.

Calculated Risks

Author : Gerd Gigerenzer
ISBN : 9781439127094
Genre : Social Science
File Size : 82. 12 MB
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At the beginning of the twentieth century, H. G. Wells predicted that statistical thinking would be as necessary for citizenship in a technological world as the ability to read and write. But in the twenty-first century, we are often overwhelmed by a baffling array of percentages and probabilities as we try to navigate in a world dominated by statistics. Cognitive scientist Gerd Gigerenzer says that because we haven't learned statistical thinking, we don't understand risk and uncertainty. In order to assess risk -- everything from the risk of an automobile accident to the certainty or uncertainty of some common medical screening tests -- we need a basic understanding of statistics. Astonishingly, doctors and lawyers don't understand risk any better than anyone else. Gigerenzer reports a study in which doctors were told the results of breast cancer screenings and then were asked to explain the risks of contracting breast cancer to a woman who received a positive result from a screening. The actual risk was small because the test gives many false positives. But nearly every physician in the study overstated the risk. Yet many people will have to make important health decisions based on such information and the interpretation of that information by their doctors. Gigerenzer explains that a major obstacle to our understanding of numbers is that we live with an illusion of certainty. Many of us believe that HIV tests, DNA fingerprinting, and the growing number of genetic tests are absolutely certain. But even DNA evidence can produce spurious matches. We cling to our illusion of certainty because the medical industry, insurance companies, investment advisers, and election campaigns have become purveyors of certainty, marketing it like a commodity. To avoid confusion, says Gigerenzer, we should rely on more understandable representations of risk, such as absolute risks. For example, it is said that a mammography screening reduces the risk of breast cancer by 25 percent. But in absolute risks, that means that out of every 1,000 women who do not participate in screening, 4 will die; while out of 1,000 women who do, 3 will die. A 25 percent risk reduction sounds much more significant than a benefit that 1 out of 1,000 women will reap. This eye-opening book explains how we can overcome our ignorance of numbers and better understand the risks we may be taking with our money, our health, and our lives.

Calculated Risks

Author : Kenneth A. Rogers
ISBN : 9781317170143
Genre : Technology & Engineering
File Size : 54. 8 MB
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This well-documented study examines one of the increasingly pressing problems for US homeland security: the storage and management of radioactive waste. Despite pressing homeland security and energy security concerns associated with highly radioactive waste, political considerations have prevented policy makers from adopting adequate long-term solutions to the problem. This book explores nuclear waste problems through the broader lens of federal, state and local government and the resultant constraints on policy that emerge within the American political system. Presenting specific case studies to highlight the deficiencies in current policy and planning as well as the possibility of terrorist activity, it is highly suited to courses on security studies and environmental politics.

Calculated Risks

Author : Seanan McGuire
ISBN : 9780756411824
Genre : Fiction
File Size : 84. 84 MB
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The tenth book in the fast-paced InCryptid urban fantasy series returns to the mishaps of the Price family, eccentric cryptozoologists who safeguard the world of magical creatures living in secret among humans. Just when Sarah Zellaby, adopted Price cousin and telepathic ambush predator, thought that things couldn't get worse, she's had to go and prove herself wrong. After being kidnapped and manipulated by her birth family, she has undergone a transformation called an instar, reaching back to her Apocritic origins to metamorphize. While externally the same, she is internally much more powerful, and much more difficult to control. Even by herself. After years of denial, the fact that she will always be a cuckoo has become impossible to deny. Now stranded in another dimension with a handful of allies who seem to have no idea who she is--including her cousin Annie and her maybe-boyfriend Artie, both of whom have forgotten their relationship--and a bunch of cuckoos with good reason to want her dead, Sarah must figure out not only how to contend with her situation, but with the new realities of her future. What is she now? Who is she now? Is that person someone she can live with? And when all is said and done, will she be able to get the people she loves, whether or not they've forgotten her, safely home?

Calculating Risks?

Author : James Hamilton
ISBN : 0262082780
Genre : Political Science
File Size : 36. 6 MB
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"By matching agency decision data to detailed census information using geographic information systems (GIS) technology, the authors show that most hazardous waste sites do not pose sufficient risk to merit the most stringent cleanup options. Those sites that do pose considerable risk to exposed populations often receive inadequate attention, because government decisions to target cleanups are based more on political factors than on actual risks. The authors propose policy reforms that could significantly reduce cleanup costs without sacrificing the protection of human health."--BOOK JACKET.

Calculated Risk Military Theory And The Allies Campaign In Italy 1943 1944

Author : Major Daniel W. Krueger
ISBN : 9781786250636
Genre : History
File Size : 28. 16 MB
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In September 1943 allied armies of the United States and Great Britain landed on the European mainland in its “soft underbelly” taking another step toward the defeat of Nazi Germany. Expecting to be in Rome by the end of that year, the Allies instead found themselves embroiled in a prolonged struggle of static warfare reminiscent of the western front of 1915-16. In the end the allied armies suffered 312,000 casualties in a campaign whose purpose was not clearly decided. This monograph examines the Allies campaign in the Mediterranean in 1943-1944 in order to answer the question of whether the Allies could have “won” and, if so, how. More specifically, this study looks at the utility of military theory for explaining cause and effect, and for providing a basis for operational insight and assessment of risk. This particular historical case study is significant in that the challenges of difficult terrain, coalition command, multinational forces, limited resources, and bad weather faced by the operational commanders of this campaign are factors that may weigh heavily for operational commanders in future conflicts. Conclusions reached in this study are threefold. First, the operational commanders involved did not have a true appreciation of the operational risks taken when major operations were designed and executed in January 1944. Second, the operational and strategic commanders may have chosen a different course of action if these risks had been more fully appreciated. Third, classical theory, as represented by the writings of Clausewitz, Jomini, and even Liddell Hart, does have utility in explaining cause and effect and may well have provided the commanders concerned in this case clearer insight at the operational level of war.

Great Answers To Tough Interview Questions

Author : Martin John Yate
ISBN : 9780749451967
Genre : Employment interviewing
File Size : 81. 71 MB
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This new edition of the best-selling job-hunting book of all time should be your essential companion if you are looking for a job. Dealing with the whole process, from creating an outstanding CV and answering the most dreaded interview questions to negotiating a salary, it is suitable for job-seekers at any stage of their career. Great Answers to Tough Interview Questions is full of examples of tough questions that interviewers like to throw at you, showing you how to answer them in a way that will advance your application and help you to secure your dream job.

Calculated Risk Mills Boon Silhouette

Author : Stephanie Doyle
ISBN : 9781472091734
Genre : Fiction
File Size : 33. 88 MB
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At the ripe old age of twenty, girl genius Sabrina Masters was booted from the CIA for "willful insubordination." Now, ten years later, they want her back for a mission only she has the brains to complete–breaking a twisted code to flush out a terrorist. Too bad the mission comes with her former trainer and ex-lover–Quinlan–attached.

Calculated Risk

Author : Jonna Doolittle Hoppes
ISBN : 9781595809155
Genre : Biography & Autobiography
File Size : 41. 60 MB
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Famous for leading the Tokyo Raid, America's first strike against Japan in World War II, Jimmy Doolittle led a remarkable life as an American pilot. This firsthand account by his granddaughter reveals an extraordinary individual—a scientist with a doctorate in aeronautical engineering from MIT, an aviation pioneer who was the first to fly across the United States in less than 24 hours and the first to fly “blind” (using only his plane’s instruments), a barnstormer well known for aerobatics, a popular racing pilot who won every major air race at least once, recipient of both the Congressional Medal of Honor and Presidential Medal of Freedom, a four-star general, and commander of both the 8th, 12th and 15th Air Forces. This memoir provides insights into the public and private world of Jimmy Doolittle and his family and sheds light on the drives and motivation of one of America's most influential and ambitious aviators.

Calculated Risk

Author : Zoe M McCarthy
ISBN : 9781611163551
Genre : Fiction
File Size : 81. 68 MB
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Whoever said opposites attract was right, of course...but no one ever said what they attract. Jilted by the latest of her father's choices of 'real men,' Cisney Baldwin rashly accepts an invitation to spend Thanksgiving weekend with a sympathetic colleague and his family. Nick LeCrone is a man too much her opposite to interest her and too mild-mannered to make her overbearing father's 'list.' Now, Cisney fears Nick wants to take advantage of her vulnerable state over the holiday. Boy, is she wrong.Nick wants little to do with Cisney. She drives him crazy with all her sticky notes and quirks. He extended an invitation because he felt sorry for her. Now he's stuck, and to make matters worse, his family thinks she's his perfect match. He'll do what he can to keep his distance, but there's just one problem'he's starting to believe Cisney's magnetism is stronger than he can resist.

Calculated Risk

Author : George Leopold
ISBN : 9781612494586
Genre : Biography & Autobiography
File Size : 50. 8 MB
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Unlike other American astronauts, Virgil I. "Gus" Grissom never had the chance to publish his memoirs. Killed along with his crew in a launch pad fire on January 27, 1967, Grissom also lost his chance to walk on the moon and return to describe his journey. Others went in his place. The stories of the moon walkers are familiar. Less appreciated are Grissom's contributions. The international prestige of winning the Moon Race cannot be understated, and Grissom played a pivotal and enduring role in securing that legacy for the United States. Indeed, Grissom was first and foremost a Cold Warrior, a member of the first group of Mercury astronauts whose goal it was to beat the Soviet Union into space and eventually to the moon. Drawing on extensive interviews with fellow astronauts, NASA engineers, family members, and friends of Gus Grissom, George Leopold delivers a comprehensive and corrective account of Grissom's life that places his career in the context of the Cold War and the history of human spaceflight. Calculated Risk: The Supersonic Life and Times of Gus Grissom adds significantly to our understanding of that tumultuous and ultimately triumphant period in American history.

Calculated Risk

Author : Mark W. Clark
ISBN : 9781459619104
Genre :
File Size : 57. 91 MB
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Mark W. Clark was a major figure in World War II. He was prominent as one of the top American commanders. Together with Dwight D. Eisenhower, Omar N. Bradley, and George S. Patton, Jr., Clark was widely regarded as being responsible for victory on the European side of the conflict. - from the introduction One of the great World War II memoirs by a legendary American general in charge of operations in North Africa and Italy. General Mark W. Clark recounts his wartime exploits and tells the story of the battles in Tunisia and Italy with verve and attention to key detail. An unparalleled account by a great military leader.

A Calculated Risk

Author : Evan Wilson
ISBN : 9781578603770
Genre : Political Science
File Size : 60. 58 MB
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In the aftermath of World War II and the Holocaust, the Truman White House led the effort to establish the state of Israel. But, was it inevitable that the U.S. would endorse the concept of a Jewish state? Was U.S. policy entirely pro-Jewish? To what extent did the State Department influence Presidents Roosevelt and Truman in regard to Palestine? How aware were the two presidents of the probable consequences of their decisions about the Middle East? A Calculated Risk explores these questions and more. It examines the intricate international diplomacy that helped pave the way for the creation of the Jewish state and evaluates the conflicting pressures brought to bear on the U.S. with respect to the Palestine question, and specifically the recognition of Israel, from 1942-1948. Impartial, well researched, and highly readable, it tells the complete story of the balancing act that changed the geopolitical landscape in the Middle East.

Addiction Treatment Homework Planner

Author : James R. Finley
ISBN : 9781119278061
Genre : Psychology
File Size : 66. 41 MB
Format : PDF
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Help clients suffering from chemical and nonchemical addictions develop the skills they need to work through problems. The Addiction Treatment Homework Planner, Fifth Edition provides you with an array of ready-to-use, between-session assignments designed to fit virtually every therapeutic mode. This easy-to-use sourcebook features: 100 ready-to-copy exercises covering the most common issues encountered by clients suffering from chemical and nonchemical addictions, such as anxiety, impulsivity, childhood trauma, dependent traits, and occupational problems A quick-reference format—the interactive assignments are grouped by behavioral problems including alcoholism, nicotine dependence, and sleep disturbance as well as those problems that do not involve psychoactive substances, such as problem gambling, eating disorders, and sexual addictions Expert guidance on how and when to make the most efficient use of the exercises Assignments that are cross-referenced toThe Addiction Treatment Planner, Fifth Edition so you can quickly identify the right exercise for a given situation or problem All exercises are available online for you to download and customize to suit you and your clients' unique styles and needs

Chickening In From Fear To Courageous Faith 8 Pillars Of Transformation

Author : JJ Gutierrez
ISBN : 9781620207376
Genre : Religion
File Size : 55. 19 MB
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Like the flip of a switch, Chickening IN created an epiphany or “God Moment.” Where there was once hopelessness, fear, and doubt . . . now there is new found hope, courage, and strength. We live in an unpredictable, uncontrollable world where things change often, and fear can plant itself deeply within our hearts. Chickening IN is a practical approach to defeating the fear and doubt that is preventing us from becoming brave, bold women of God. Do you long to overcome the fear and doubt that is sabotaging the life God has for you? Are you ready to grow in courage and put feet to your faith? You’ve come to the right place! I’d like to invite you to join me on a transformation journey to stop chickening out and start Chickening IN. By accepting my invitation you will embark into the land of transformation. A place where fear-filled lives can be reconstructed into courageous faith-filled lives. Chickening IN will require hard work and honest assessment, but I will lead you step by step through the eight pillars of Chickening IN that have changed my life and that can change your life, too!

Vegetation Management Program Ca Nv

Author :
ISBN : NWU:35556031220791
Genre :
File Size : 86. 39 MB
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Building Construction For The Fire Service

Author : Francis L. Brannigan
ISBN : 0763748854
Genre : Technology & Engineering
File Size : 70. 75 MB
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Protect against the life-threatening dangers of building collapse! Brannigan's book can save your life! Extensively updated, revised, and expanded, this 3rd edition text shows you how to recognize the signs of building collapse before it happens--so you can get out while there's still time. You'll be informed about critical topics such as: The toxic combustion products of vermin- and moisture-resistant treated wood The outcome of multi-million-dollar lawsuits involving some fire-retardant treated plywood The total collapse hazard to post-tensioned concrete buildings under construction The dynamics of the "stack effect", and more! Photographs and illustrations help you visualize key concepts, so you can spot dangers on the job. A "must" for fire fighters, engineers, and all those concerned with building collapse, this book gives you the facts you need to avoid construction hazards. Work smart... order today!

Safety Digest

Author : United States. Army Materiel Command
ISBN : MINN:31951D03558419X
Genre : Industrial safety
File Size : 67. 49 MB
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Politics Economics And Welfare

Author : Robert A. Dahl
ISBN : 9781351308144
Genre : Political Science
File Size : 22. 45 MB
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For most of this century, the habit of thinking about politics and economics in terms of grand and simple alternatives has exerted a powerful influence over the minds of those concerned with economic organization. Politics, Economics, and Welfare is a systematic attack on the idea of all-embracing ideological solutions to complex economic problems.

Hearings

Author : United States. Congress. Senate
ISBN : UOM:35112104266400
Genre :
File Size : 43. 79 MB
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